TB
Treatment
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Should
We Take A History Of Prior Treatment, And Check Sputum
Status At 2-3 Months When Treating Patients For
Tuberculosis?
Dr
David Wilkinson BSc MBChB DipPEC DCH DTMH MSc(Epi) 1,2,3
*
Dr Sudharshanie Bechan MB ChB 1
Mrs Catherine Connolly MPH 1
Dr Elizabeth Standing MB BS MFPHM 4
Dr G Murray Short MB ChB DPH DTMH 4,5
1
Centre for Epidemiological Research in Southern Africa,
Medical Research Council, South Africa.
2 Division of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool School of
Tropical Medicine, UK.
3 Hlabisa Hospital, Hlabisa, South Africa.
4 Pinetown Municipality, Pinetown, South Africa.
5 Regional Office, State Health Department, Durban,
South Africa. *
author for correspondence
Address
for correspondence : Centre for Epidemiological
Research in Southern Africa, Medical Research Council, PO
Box 187, Mtubatuba 3937, South Africa.
Tel +27 35 5500607. Fax +27 35 5501436.
Word
count: 1188
Running head: Value of previous treatment history and 2
month smear
Key words: tuberculosis, treatment history, sputum smear
examination
Introduction
Patients
with a history of previous treatment for tuberculosis
are typically treated with different drug regimens from
new patients (1), because they are more likely to have
drug resistant disease (1, 2). It is also standard practice
to check sputum status at the end of the initial intensive phase
of therapy (2 months for new patients and 3 months
for retreated patients), and to extend this phase of chemotherapy
if sputum remains positive (1). A more simple approach to tuberculosis
treatment has been advocated (3). In rural South Africa, using
the same drug regimen for all adults (four drugs given
twice weekly for six months) irrespective of previous
treatment history, and not doing smears after diagnosis, consistently
high treatment completion rates (4, 5) and cure rates
(6) have been achieved. In an era of much increased
tuberculosis incidence in sub-Saharan Africa (7, 8), and reduced
health system capacity to treat the resultant caseload
(9), secondary in large part to the HIV epidemic (9), we used
historical data to answer the question: is it really necessary
to act on a history of prior tuberculosis treatment and
to check sputum status at 2-3 months?
Methods
Between
1975 and 1983 in Pinetown, South Africa, four large cohort
studies were conducted amongst ambulant adults with smear and
culture positive pulmonary tuberculosis, with the aim
of testing the effectiveness of four drug therapy
given twice-weekly from the start of treatment for six months,
under direct observation; 85% of patients completed treatment
(10). Patients were mainly male migrant workers. Doses
varied according to the cohort (isoniazid 600-900mg, rifampicin
600mg, pyrazinamide 2-3g, and streptomycin 1-2g), but
within each cohort the same regimen was given irrespective of
treatment history. Sputum status was determined at 2-3 months
by microscopy of a Ziehl-Neelsen stained sputum smear,
but the drug regimen was not changed if the smear remained
positive. Cultures were performed on Lowenstein-Jensen (LJ)
slants after digestion-decontamination with 4% NaOH (final
concentration 2%) at the King George V hospital, Durban.
The trials (run by GMS and ES) were approved by the Tuberculosis
Research Institute of the South African Medical Research Council
and have recently been analysed and published in full
(10).
Results
Of
562 consecutive patients enrolled, mean (sd) age was 34.7
(10.9) years, most (81%) were men and 84% had no history of
prior tuberculosis treatment. As expected, the proportion
of mycobacterial isolates resistant to at least one drug
was higher in those with a history of prior treatment (18.2%
vs 5.3%; table 1). However, most patients with resistant
isolates (22/34; 65%) had never been treated for tuberculosis
before. The positive predictive value of previous treatment
for tuberculosis, for a positive sputum smear at 2-3 months,
for treatment failure, and for subsequent relapse was
poor, ranging from 5.2-18.3% (Table 1).
To
explore the value of examining sputum at 2-3 months data
were analysed irrespective of treatment history (Table
2). Patients with positive smears at 2-3 months were more
likely to fail therapy (5/40) than were patients with negative
smears (9/325; RR 4.5, 95%CI: 1.6-12.8; p=0.01). However, most
of those that did fail therapy had negative smears at
2-3 months (9/14; 64%). The positive predictive value of a
positive sputum smear at 2-3 months for subsequent treatment
failure was only 12.5%. Cured patients were followed for
a mean (sd) of 21 (12) months. Relapse rates were higher in
patients who had positive smears at 2-3 months (3/31=9.7%)
than in patients who had negative smears at 2-3 months
(18/289=6.2%), but this difference was not statistically
significant (p=0.4). Most patients who relapsed had been smear
negative at 2-3 months (18/21).
Discussion
Despite
being treated with the same drug regimen treatment outcome
in these trials did not differ significantly according to previous
treatment history. Most patients who were smear positive
at 2-3 months, who failed therapy, or who relapsed,
had not been treated for tuberculosis before. Therefore there
seems to be little value in providing different drug regimens
to those treated previously when four drugs are
given twice weekly under direct observation for six months.
Although the relative risk
of failing therapy was higher in patients with positive
smears at 2-3 months, most treatment failures actually had negative
smears at 2-3 months. Also, despite therapy not being changed
at 2-3 months, most patients with positive smears at that
time were cured at six months. This suggests that routine
smears at 2-3 months can safely be omitted when using this regimen.
Developing countries
face a huge and increasing burden of tuberculosis (7).
Innovative and cost-effective ways of implementing the
directly observed, short-course (DOTS) strategy of the
World Health Organisation are now needed. Our findings
suggest that when four drugs (including rifampicin) are given
throughout treatment, the same drug regimen may be safely
given to all patients irrespective of treatment
history. These findings do not imply that current international
practice is wrong, rather that it may be possible
to do away with aspects of it. Simplifying treatment protocols
is likely to ease confusion and to aid implementation
(3), and advocating for one global 4-drug rifampicin-containing
regimen for all patients with all forms of tuberculosis
is equitable and might attract considerable donor support.
Our
findings also suggest that omitting smears at 2-3 months
under the conditions described is safe. The reality in some
African countries is that resources to provide a high
quality smear microscopy service are severely limited
(11) and the need to do three smears for diagnosis has been
questioned (3, 12). Perhaps it would be best to focus
on a microscopy service that reaches as many tuberculosis
suspects as possible, providing each with one or two high
quality smears for diagnosis and a single high quality
smear at the end of treatment to assess cure. Smears at 2-3
months aim to predict who will not be cured at 6 months,
but our data suggest that they fail to do this with adequate
predictive value.
In the absence of rifampicin
resistance, response to therapy in patients with initial
drug resistance is known to be equivalent to that amongst
patients with fully susceptible bacilli, if at least four drugs
(including rifampicin) are given for 6 months (13).
When
an outcome is uncommon (such as treatment failure in patients
treated for tuberculosis) even if test sensitivity and
specificity is good, positive predictive value will tend
to be poor (14). The positive predictive value is probably
the most best measure in assessing the utility of any test (14).
How
generalisable are our findings? Although the trials were
done in the pre-HIV era the results can probably be applied
to HIV infected patients, as such patients typically respond
to chemotherapy in the same way as HIV uninfected patients
do (1, 7), but it will be important to test this prospectively.
The conclusions may not apply to drug regimens that utilise
an intensive phase of 4 drugs and a continuation phase
of 2 months (15).
We
conclude that both a previous treatment history and the
result of a smear examination at 2-3 months have poor
predictive value for the more important outcomes of tuberculosis
treatment, namely cure and relapse when 4 drugs are given
twice weekly under direct observation for 6 months. In an era
of rapidly rising tuberculosis incidence and declining
capacity to respond, programmes may wish to consider focusing
on ensuring adherence to an effective drug regimen that can
be given to all patients, and to dispense with smears
at 2-3 months as they contribute little to overall treatment
outcome.
References
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Harries AD, Maher D. TB/HIV. A clinical manual. WHO/TB/96.200.
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Wilkinson D, Davies GR, Connolly C. Directly observed
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Wilkinson D, Anderson E, Davies GR, Sturm AW, McAdam
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Bechan S, Connolly C, Short GM, Standing E, Wilkinson
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Mundy CFJ, Chintolo FE, Gilks CF. The burden of sputum
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Mitchison DA, Nunn AJ. Influence of initial drug resistance
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Table
1. Relationship between previous treatment history for
tuberculosis and initial drug resistance rates and
treatment outcomes.History of prior tuberculosis treatment
| |
Yes |
No |
Sensitivity
(%) |
Specificity
(%) |
PPV
(%) |
NPV
(%) |
| |
n
(%) |
n
(%) |
(95%
CI) |
(95%CI) |
(95%CI) |
(95%CI) |
| Isolates
resistant to at least one drug1 |
12/66
(18.2 |
22/416
(5.3) * |
35.3
(20.3-53.5) |
87.9
(84.5-90.7) |
18.2
(10.1-30.0) |
94.7
(92.0-96.6) |
|
Positive
sputum at 2-3 months 2 |
11/60
(18.3) |
45/372
(12.1) |
19.6
(10.7-32.8) |
87.0
(83.0-90.1) |
18.3
(9.9-30.9) |
87.9
(84.0-91.0) |
| Failure
3 |
3/58
(5.2) |
14/338
(4.2) |
17.6
(9.7-44.2 |
85.5
(81.4-88.8) |
5.2
(1.3-15.3) |
95.9
(93.0-97.6) |
|
Relapse
4 |
5/53
(9.4) |
17/293
(5.8 |
22.7
(8.7-45.8) |
85.2
(80.7-88.8) |
9.4
(3.5-21.4) |
94.2
(90.7-96.5) |
* p=0.0008
1. 482 patients had data on prior treatment history and drug susceptibility
patterns
2. 432 patients were compliant to 2-3 months and produced a
specimen for examination
3. 396 patients completed treatment and produced a specimen
for examination
4. 346 cured patients were successfully followed up The
proportion of patients not evaluated for each outcome
was similar in the two groups.
Table
2. Relationship between sputum smear status at 2-3 months
and treatment outcomes.Sputum smear status at 2-3 months
| |
Positive |
Negative |
Sensitivit
y
(%) |
Specificit
y
(%) |
PPV
(%) |
NPV
(%) |
| |
n
(%) |
n (%) |
(95%
CI) |
(95%CI) |
(95%CI) |
(95%CI) |
| Treatment
failure |
5/40
(12.5) |
9/325
(2.8) |
35.7
(14.0-64.4) |
90.0
(86.3-92.9) |
12.5
(4.7-27.6) |
97.8
(94.6-98.6) |
|
Relapse |
3/31
(9.7) |
18/289
(6.2 |
14.3
(3.8-37.4) |
90.6
(86.6-93.6) |
9.7
(2.5-26.9) |
93.8
(90.2-96.2) |
|
Data
was available on sputum smear status at 2-3 months for
432 patients; data on treatment outcome was available on 365
of these, and data on relapse was available for 320.
|